Producer confidence; sentiment indicator manufacturing industry, branches

Producer confidence; sentiment indicator manufacturing industry, branches

Sector/branches (SIC 2008) Margins Seasonal adjustment Periods Producer confidence (%) Producer confidence indicator components Expected activity (%) Producer confidence indicator components Opinion on order books (%) Producer confidence indicator components Stocks of finished products (%)
C Manufacturing Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 October -3,7 4,1 -7,2 -7,9
C Manufacturing Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 November -2,6 5,9 -7,3 -6,4
C Manufacturing Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 December -5,7 1,1 -11,5 -6,9
C Manufacturing Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 January -4,4 1,8 -8,5 -6,4
C Manufacturing Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 February -4,2 4,6 -11,9 -5,3
C Manufacturing Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 March -4,8 3,5 -11,4 -6,7
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 October -3,1 5,8 -12,0 -3,0
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 November -0,3 9,9 -9,0 -1,7
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 December -4,5 0,6 -9,6 -4,4
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 January -4,2 -1,3 -12,3 1,0
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 February -6,5 -7,5 -12,3 0,2
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 March -4,2 0,2 -11,1 -1,8
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 October -1,6 13,6 -16,9 -1,6
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 November -1,2 16,2 -17,8 -2,2
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 December -3,4 11,0 -18,1 -3,2
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 January -5,3 10,1 -17,9 -7,9
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 February -8,5 1,0 -13,1 -13,5
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 March -7,4 3,7 -15,4 -10,5
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 October -23,0 -21,4 -32,6 -15,0
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 November -17,6 -15,1 -28,8 -8,8
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 December -19,0 -7,2 -32,2 -17,6
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 January -20,6 -9,0 -33,9 -18,8
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 February -20,2 -18,5 -26,9 -15,4
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 March -15,1 -8,3 -23,7 -13,3
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 October -13,0 1,3 -29,3 -11,0
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 November -10,7 1,5 -28,3 -5,2
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 December -10,9 5,8 -38,0 -0,6
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 January -11,2 -3,1 -28,5 -2,1
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 February 1,6 15,0 -14,0 3,7
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 March 2,3 15,7 -10,8 1,9
19-22 Refineries and chemistry Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 October -7,0 8,0 -23,3 -5,7
19-22 Refineries and chemistry Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 November -2,6 23,2 -24,6 -6,6
19-22 Refineries and chemistry Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 December -8,7 6,3 -25,1 -7,4
19-22 Refineries and chemistry Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 January -8,1 6,5 -23,2 -7,5
19-22 Refineries and chemistry Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 February -1,7 15,7 -19,0 -2,0
19-22 Refineries and chemistry Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 March -4,0 3,6 -13,7 -1,9
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 October -9,4 -3,0 -9,1 -16,2
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 November -8,7 0,0 -10,2 -16,0
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 December -10,0 -2,5 -13,1 -14,4
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 January -12,1 -7,5 -10,8 -18,1
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 February -5,5 10,4 -14,3 -12,5
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 March -7,3 10,8 -13,1 -19,5
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 October 7,8 17,2 11,2 -4,8
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 November 5,3 8,3 11,8 -4,3
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 December -0,7 1,7 1,3 -5,3
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 January 6,2 9,3 13,1 -3,7
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 February -2,1 6,0 -4,0 -8,4
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 March -5,1 1,5 -8,9 -8,0
29-30 Transport equipment Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 October -6,4 -13,8 18,0 -23,5
29-30 Transport equipment Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 November -6,5 -21,2 9,4 -7,8
29-30 Transport equipment Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 December -7,4 -19,4 -0,6 -2,1
29-30 Transport equipment Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 January -13,1 -21,0 -8,8 -9,4
29-30 Transport equipment Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 February -7,0 -5,9 -10,8 -4,5
29-30 Transport equipment Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 March -11,7 -17,4 -11,0 -6,8
31-33 Other manufacturing and repair Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 October -0,6 1,0 -1,5 -1,2
31-33 Other manufacturing and repair Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 November -1,2 3,7 -3,5 -3,8
31-33 Other manufacturing and repair Value Seasonally adjusted data 2023 December 1,8 11,3 -2,8 -3,2
31-33 Other manufacturing and repair Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 January 5,4 17,1 -1,2 0,3
31-33 Other manufacturing and repair Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 February 1,5 11,4 -6,5 -0,3
31-33 Other manufacturing and repair Value Seasonally adjusted data 2024 March 3,6 15,9 -4,7 -0,3
Bron: CBS.
Verklaring van tekens

Tabeltoelichting


Producer confidence is a sentiment indicator for the manufacturing industry that indicates the direction in which manufacturing production is expected to develop. The indicator is an unweighted arithmetic average of three component indicators from the Business sentiment survey of the manufacturing industry. Before the Producer confidence is calculated, seasonal effects are removed from the three component indicators. The questions concern the expected activity in the next three months, opinion on order books and opinion on stocks of finished products. Results of the latter question are inverted when calculating the producer confidence, since a surplus of finished products is seen as something negative.

The more optimistic or pessimistic manufacturing companies are, the more positive or negative the value of the producer confidence indicator is compared with the zero line, and the greater the expectation that manufacturing production in the coming months will increase or decrease respectively. The producer confidence indicator has been available since 1985. For the sectors of manufacturing industry given in this table, the results are available from the start of 1994.
This publication is created using co-financing by the European Commission.

Data available from: January 1985

Status of the figures:
The figures are definitive.

Changes as of March 28th 2024:
Figures of March 2024 have been added.

An improvement has been made to the calculation of the margins. This may result in a small change in the upper and lower limit of the margin. The values are unchanged.

From now on figures will be labeled as seasonally adjusted or original, even if the table only contains one of these data types.

When will new figures be published?
April 2024 figures are expected to be published on April 29th, 2024.

Toelichting onderwerpen

Producer confidence
Producer confidence is a sentiment indicator for the manufacturing industry that indicates the direction in which manufacturing production is expected to develop. The indicator is an unweighted arithmetic average of three component indicators from the Business sentiment survey of the manufacturing industry. Before the Producer confidence is calculated, seasonal and bias effects are removed from the three component indicators. The questions concern the expected activity in the next three months, opinion on order books and opinion on stocks of finished products.

The more optimistic or pessimistic manufacturing companies are, the more positive or negative the value of the producer confidence indicator is compared with the zero line, and the greater the expectation that manufacturing production in the coming months will increase or decrease respectively. The producer confidence indicator has been available since 1985. For the sectors of manufacturing industry given in this table, the results are available from the start of 1994.
Producer confidence indicator components
Producer confidence consists of three component indicators from the
Business sentiment survey: expected activity, opinions on order books
and stocks of finished products.
Expected activity
Volume indicator calculated as the percentage of positive answers minus
the percentage of negative answers to the question whether production
in the coming three months will increase, remain the same or decrease.
Seasonal and bias effects are removed.
Opinion on order books
Volume indicator calculated as a percentage of positive answers minus
the percentage of negative answers to the question whether the volume
of orders in the order book are too large, normal or too small,
given the time of the year. Seasonal and bias effects are removed.
Stocks of finished products
Volume indicator calculated as the percentage of positive answers minus
the percentage of negative answers to the question whether the volume
of stocks of finished products is too large, normal or too small, given
expected sales developments. Seasonal and bias effects are removed.
The outcome then is inverted, since a surplus of finished products is seen as something negative.