Producer confidence back at record high
The long-term average over the past two decades stands at 0.6. Producer confidence reached an all-time high (12.3) in July and October 2021 and an all-time low (-28.7) in April 2020.
|year||month||balance (average of the component questions)|
Manufacturers mainly more positive about future output
In October, manufacturers are mainly more positive about their future output than in September. Manufacturers’ opinions on order positions have also improved, to the highest level since 1985. Finally, manufacturers are also more positive about their stocks of finished products.
Manufacturers’ opinions on all three component indicators are positive. Manufacturers who anticipate output to increase over the next three months outnumber those expecting a decrease. More manufacturers consider their order position to be strong rather than weak, given the time of year. There are fewer manufacturers who define their current stocks of finished products as too large rather than too small.
Confidence highest in electrotechnical products and machinery industry
In October, producer confidence has increased in more than half of the industries. Confidence is highest in the electrotechnical products and machinery industry.
|October 2021 (average of the component questions)||September 2021 (average of the component questions)|
|Electrotechnical products and machinery||24.6||21.9|
|Timber and building materials||22.8||23|
|Textiles, clothes, leather||12.4||25.8|
|Paper and printing||12.3||11.3|
|Food, beverages, tobacco||5.8||6.3|
Capacity utilisation rate lower
The industrial capacity utilisation rate stood at 83.8 percent at the start of Q4 2021. This is lower than in the previous quarter, when the rate was 84.1 percent.
|Capacity utilisation rate (%) (%)|
Manufacturing output almost 10 percent up in August
In August 2021, the average daily output generated by the Dutch manufacturing industry was up by 9.8 percent from August 2020. Output was up by 13.7 percent in the previous month. Compared to August 2019, growth was approximately 6 percent.
Producer confidence in Germany declining further
Germany is an important foreign market for the Dutch manufacturing industry. In October, German producer confidence according to the Business Climate Index of the IFO Institute fell due to both lower expectations and a lower assessment of the current situation. Supply bottlenecks drove capacity utilisation down 2.1 percentage points to 84.7 percent.
In August, the average daily output generated by the German manufacturing industry grew by 2.1 percent year-on-year, as reported by Destatis. Relative to August 2019, however, it was still lower by 9.6 percent.
- Dossier - Business cycle