Mortality in week 24 virtually unchanged

© Hollandse Hoogte / David Rozing
In week 24 (14 to 20 June 2021 inclusive), the estimated number of deaths stood at slightly over 2,850. This is nearly 100 more than expected for this period and roughly the same number as in the previous week (2,838). Among 65 to 79-year-olds, there was excess mortality, just as in the previous two weeks. Statistics Netherlands (CBS) reports this based on the latest provisional weekly mortality figures.

From mid-September (week 39) up to and including mid-February (week 6), weekly mortality was higher than expected. There was excess mortality until mid-January (week 3). In the following weeks, mortality was not elevated and fluctuated around the expected numbers for that period. There was a short period of excess mortality in the last week of April (week 6), but mortality continued to decline after that. In the first week of June (week 22), there was excess mortality again. In week 23, there was no excess mortality. The estimate for week 24 is nearly 100 deaths above the expected number and within the range of usual fluctuations (this means there is no excess mortality based on the estimate). The National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM) registered 8 COVID-19 deaths in week 24 (as at 22 June).

Weekly mortality, 2020*
   DeathsExpected mortalityExpected mortality (95% interval)
20201310332772908 – 3645
20202336433112930 – 3692
20203315733442945 – 3742
20204304633923008 – 3776
20205316434073027 – 3788
20206319634012979 – 3823
20207319834082916 – 3901
20208295933872851 – 3922
20209309833522805 – 3898
202010310733152785 – 3845
202011321832532756 – 3751
202012361431742711 – 3637
202013445831042703 – 3505
202014508530242712 – 3337
202015498229572719 – 3195
202016430829152711 – 3120
202017391028692677 – 3060
202018338328412650 – 3032
202019298928212633 – 3009
202020277727942626 – 2962
202021277027702620 – 2920
202022273227532608 – 2898
202023268227352591 – 2880
202024268927372600 – 2875
202025269627252594 – 2855
202026265927172577 – 2857
202027263827232544 – 2902
202028261927192515 – 2923
202029252827202507 – 2934
202030267327072515 – 2900
202031266626872492 – 2882
202032264226822483 – 2881
202033320926692481 – 2857
202034285626632510 – 2815
202035273526672526 – 2807
202036269226762549 – 2804
202037274226982564 – 2832
202038272127292585 – 2873
202039289127522618 – 2886
202040300227862628 – 2943
202041302228072655 – 2960
202042322228392677 – 3001
202043344828622661 – 3063
202044368728892683 – 3095
202045358929022692 – 3111
202046358029322710 – 3155
202047333529722742 – 3202
202048340530122762 – 3263
202049353030372742 – 3332
202050361531002800 – 3399
202051390931662830 – 3501
202052386732222871 – 3573
202053410332662906 – 3625
20211414233092940 – 3677
20212385033432962 – 3724
20213386033762978 – 3775
20214371434253040 – 3809
20215365134403060 – 3821
20216354834343012 – 3856
20217352534412949 – 3934
20218320634202884 – 3955
20219310533842838 – 3931
202110324333472817 – 3877
202111303832852787 – 3782
202112304232052742 – 3668
202113317331342733 – 3535
202114315630542741 – 3366
202115313229862748 – 3224
202116313929442739 – 3148
202117311528972705 – 3088
202118299028692677 – 3060
202119300328492660 – 3037
202120297728212653 – 2989
202121279227972646 – 2947
202122299327802635 – 2925
202123283827622617 – 2906
202124285527642627 – 2901
20212527512620 – 2882
20212627432603 – 2883
20212727502571 – 2929
20212827452541 – 2949
20212927472534 – 2960
20213027342541 – 2926
202131
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202137
202138
202139
202140
202141
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* Provisional figures. Week 24 in 2021 is an estimate.

Mortality among long-term care users slightly up

Based on the estimate, mortality increased slightly among people receiving care under the Long-term Care Act (Wlz) in week 24. As of the last week of February (week 8), except for week 22, mortality in this group was below the expected level. In week 24, mortality was again above the expected level but within the range of usual fluctuations.

The number of deaths among the rest of the population declined further in week 24, based on the estimate. From the first week of April (week 14) until week 20 and in week 22, there was excess mortality in this group. In week 24, there were over 1,050 deaths among long-term care users, including residents of nursing homes and institutions for the disabled. Just under 1,800 deaths were recorded among the rest of the population.

Weekly mortality, 2020*, by Long-term care (Wlz) use
   Long-term care (Wlz) usersLong-term care (Wlz) users, expectedLong-term care (Wlz) users, expected (95% interval)Other populationOther population, expectedOther population, expected (95% interval)
20201121012521052 – 1451189320251780 – 2270
20202126512721076 – 1468209920391793 – 2285
20203113512821086 – 1478202220621805 – 2319
20204112513011113 – 1489192120911842 – 2339
20205109813101118 – 1503206620971853 – 2341
20206114213091099 – 1519205420921826 – 2358
20207115513091069 – 1549204320991796 – 2403
20208112912961044 – 1549183020911762 – 2419
20209119512761005 – 1546190320761756 – 2396
20201011641260989 – 1531194320561752 – 2359
20201112001229950 – 1507201820251741 – 2308
20201213361191928 – 1454227819831714 – 2252
20201316561156912 – 1400280219481715 – 2180
20201422121120915 – 1326287319041709 – 2100
20201524091091910 – 1273257318661709 – 2022
20201620661075912 – 1238224218401691 – 1990
20201717161055898 – 1211219418141663 – 1965
20201814291048900 – 1195195417931643 – 1944
20201911861038897 – 1179180317831631 – 1935
20202010311029902 – 1155174617651615 – 1915
20202110691015892 – 1138170117551615 – 1895
20202210041007887 – 1127172817461602 – 1890
202023909995886 – 1104177317401585 – 1895
202024958997888 – 1106173117401592 – 1889
202025913989879 – 1099178317361585 – 1886
202026940985864 – 1107171917321585 – 1879
202027932992850 – 1134170617311567 – 1896
202028911998849 – 1147170817211552 – 1890
2020299001003855 – 1152162817171555 – 1879
2020309571004854 – 1154171617041553 – 1855
202031946997851 – 1143172016901540 – 1840
202032904993846 – 1140173816901546 – 1834
2020331311987840 – 1134189816821531 – 1832
2020341113980849 – 1111174316831553 – 1813
202035995974860 – 1087174016931550 – 1835
202036942973860 – 1087175017031562 – 1844
202037942977865 – 1089180017211579 – 1862
202038980989876 – 1102174117401594 – 1886
20203910541001892 – 1110183717511606 – 1896
20204010761015897 – 1133192617711632 – 1909
20204110901028908 – 1147193217801638 – 1922
20204212191042910 – 1175200317971663 – 1930
20204313171054912 – 1195213118081650 – 1966
20204415201068920 – 1215216718211662 – 1981
20204513911074925 – 1224219818271664 – 1991
20204614241086936 – 1235215618461678 – 2014
20204712871102953 – 1252204818701684 – 2056
20204812871121964 – 1278211818921702 – 2081
20204912861135970 – 1300224419011683 – 2120
20205014521163996 – 1329216319371721 – 2153
202051160711931019 – 1368230219721739 – 2205
202052172712231035 – 1410214019991763 – 2236
202053173212441050 – 1437237020221781 – 2263
20211165712641065 – 1463248520451799 – 2290
20212158812841089 – 1480226220591813 – 2305
20213153912941098 – 1491232120821825 – 2339
20214146413131125 – 1501225021111863 – 2360
20215143613231131 – 1515221521171874 – 2361
20216135113221112 – 1532219721121846 – 2379
20217136613221082 – 1562215921201816 – 2423
20218115813091056 – 1561204821111783 – 2439
20219110412881018 – 1559200120961776 – 2416
202110114712721001 – 1543209620751772 – 2379
2021119971241962 – 1519204120441761 – 2328
20211210451203939 – 1466199720021733 – 2271
20211310301167923 – 1412214319671734 – 2199
2021149911131925 – 1337216519231727 – 2118
2021159761102920 – 1283215618841727 – 2040
2021169731085922 – 1248216618581708 – 2008
20211710421065908 – 1221207318321681 – 1983
20211810091058910 – 1205198118111660 – 1961
20211910051048907 – 1189199818001648 – 1952
2021209901039912 – 1165198717821632 – 1933
2021219871025902 – 1147180517721632 – 1912
20212210651017897 – 1137192817631619 – 1907
2021239851005896 – 1114185317571602 – 1912
20212410641007897 – 1116179117571609 – 1906
202125999889 – 110917521602 – 1903
202126995874 – 111617491601 – 1896
2021271002859 – 114417481584 – 1913
2021281008858 – 115717371569 – 1906
2021291013865 – 116117341572 – 1896
2021301013863 – 116417201569 – 1871
202131
202132
202133
202134
202135
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202140
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* Provisional figures. Week 24 in 2021 is an estimate.

Mortality in all age groups more or less unchanged

Based on the estimate, mortality remained at roughly the same level in all age groups in week 24. Mortality among people aged 80 and over was just above the expected level. The number of deaths was estimated at slightly fewer than 1,550. Between the second week of February and the end of April, mortality in this age group was lower than expected. It has fluctuated around the expected level since then.

Among 65 to 79-year-olds, there was excess mortality in week 24, just as in the previous two weeks. Over 900 deaths were recorded in this age group. Mortality among people aged 65 to 79 years showed an upward trend from the first week of March (week 9), with a decline starting in the last week of April (week 17). From the end of March (week 13) up to and including week 20, there was excess mortality in this age group. In week 21, the number of deaths was at the expected level.

Among people under the age of 65, there was excess mortality between the start of April (week 14) and the start of May (week 18). Mortality declined after that. Mortality was elevated again in week 22, but it declined in week 23. Based on the estimate, mortality in week 24 was just above the expected level but again within range. There were slightly fewer than 400 deaths in this age group.

Weekly mortality*, by age
   0 to 64 years0 to 64 yrs, expected0 to 64 yrs, expected (95% interval)65 to 79 yrs65 to 79 yrs, expected65 to 79 yrs, expected (95% interval)80 yrs and over80 yrs and over, expected80 yrs and over, expected (95% interval)
20201385415374 – 456896947852 – 1041182219181632 – 2204
20202432413371 – 456967944851 – 1038196519571650 – 2263
20203418415371 – 460913944851 – 1038182619881657 – 2319
20204354417374 – 459936949856 – 1043175620301701 – 2360
20205450417375 – 460924956857 – 1056179020391717 – 2360
20206401417371 – 463982957843 – 1071181320321691 – 2373
20207408420374 – 466938961832 – 1091185220321649 – 2415
20208340420374 – 467870961815 – 1108174920091600 – 2418
20209404420370 – 470911951805 – 1096178319841574 – 2394
202010394417370 – 464889944804 – 1085182419571557 – 2357
202011410415367 – 463948932803 – 1062186019091537 – 2281
202012449410364 – 4561079917796 – 1039208618491503 – 2195
202013502407366 – 4481401907806 – 1008255517911486 – 2097
202014499401357 – 4441503889806 – 972308317351490 – 1981
202015485394355 – 4321435876809 – 942306216881496 – 1880
202016426389350 – 4271234867799 – 935264816601505 – 1815
202017455383341 – 4251155857787 – 926230016301490 – 1769
202018446381342 – 4191000847779 – 916193716131472 – 1755
202019391380339 – 420915845777 – 912168315971458 – 1735
202020374378339 – 418835834768 – 901156815811460 – 1703
202021367377335 – 419805832766 – 898159815601459 – 1661
202022371376330 – 422858830764 – 895150315471451 – 1643
202023386378335 – 421835827767 – 887146115291425 – 1634
202024405383340 – 425834829770 – 888145015251431 – 1619
202025375382341 – 423855827765 – 889146615141427 – 1601
202026381384342 – 426828825763 – 887145015071407 – 1606
202027402385342 – 428809829764 – 894142715071375 – 1639
202028390386347 – 424812830760 – 899141715011352 – 1650
202029373389351 – 426775830762 – 899138014991337 – 1661
202030407387349 – 425823828759 – 896144314911343 – 1639
202031376383347 – 419841824752 – 896144914781334 – 1622
202032420384345 – 423820829755 – 904140214671318 – 1615
202033463382345 – 418928826749 – 904181814591325 – 1592
202034417382342 – 422863829756 – 901157614501346 – 1554
202035353384338 – 429865831761 – 900151714501354 – 1546
202036416385339 – 431828833766 – 900144814561373 – 1538
202037396390343 – 437898839773 – 905144814661383 – 1548
202038395397350 – 445845850777 – 923148114791390 – 1568
202039394396346 – 447880855785 – 924161714981416 – 1580
202040435400348 – 453917865789 – 941165015181416 – 1620
202041379400354 – 447990868785 – 950165315371436 – 1638
202042432405360 – 449987872788 – 956180315601446 – 1674
202043425406362 – 4501080878787 – 969194315761438 – 1713
202044409403360 – 4471166888798 – 979211215951443 – 1748
202045434403362 – 4431111890807 – 973204416071441 – 1774
202046435408369 – 4461059898814 – 982208616251449 – 1801
202047417411376 – 4471083913829 – 996183516471468 – 1826
202048436414377 – 4501084925845 – 1005188516731482 – 1863
202049446411373 – 4501112933843 – 1022197216921481 – 1903
202050464413374 – 4511104938853 – 1023204717491525 – 1973
202051473416378 – 4541187941848 – 1034224918091563 – 2056
202052432415375 – 4551146944849 – 1039228918651598 – 2132
202053462413372 – 4541280958863 – 1052236118981621 – 2174
20211429411369 – 4521178971877 – 1065253519301644 – 2215
20212410409367 – 4511110969875 – 1062233019691662 – 2275
20213425411366 – 4551087969875 – 1062234820001670 – 2331
20214403412370 – 4551105974880 – 1067220620421713 – 2372
20215380413370 – 4551099981881 – 1080217220511730 – 2372
20216410413366 – 4591097981867 – 1095204120441703 – 2385
20217476415369 – 4621038986856 – 1115201120441661 – 2427
20218403416369 – 463984986840 – 1133181920211612 – 2430
20219416415365 – 466969975830 – 1121172019971587 – 2407
202110415413365 – 460990969828 – 1109183819691569 – 2369
202111411410363 – 458984956827 – 1085164319211549 – 2292
202112387405360 – 4511008941819 – 1062164718601514 – 2206
202113412402361 – 4441038930830 – 1031172318021497 – 2108
202114445396353 – 4401047912829 – 995166417461500 – 1992
202115438390351 – 4281075898831 – 965161916991507 – 1891
202116450385346 – 4231018890822 – 958167116701515 – 1825
202117431379337 – 4201043879809 – 948164116401500 – 1779
202118406377338 – 4151020869801 – 937156416231482 – 1764
202119490376335 – 416931866799 – 934158216071468 – 1745
202120409374335 – 4141023855789 – 922154515911469 – 1712
202121392373331 – 415859854788 – 920154115701469 – 1671
202122433372326 – 418941851786 – 916161915561460 – 1652
202123394374331 – 417914848789 – 908153015391434 – 1643
202124392378336 – 421920850791 – 909154315341440 – 1629
202125378337 – 419848787 – 91015231437 – 1610
202126380338 – 422846784 – 90815161417 – 1615
202127381338 – 424851786 – 91615161385 – 1648
202128382343 – 420851782 – 92015101361 – 1659
202129385347 – 422852783 – 92015091347 – 1671
202130383345 – 421849781 – 91715001352 – 1648
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* Provisional figures. Week 24 in 2021 is an estimate.

COVID-19 mortality known up to February inclusive

The figures on (excess) mortality are based on daily reports on the number of deaths received by CBS. These reports do not contain any information about the cause of death. CBS receives such information at a later stage via a death cause certificate. The cause of death is known for all deceased up to and including February 2021. According to these figures, 27,056 thousand people died of COVID-19 between March 2020 and February 2021, as published by CBS on 3 June. Excess mortality during the first wave and during the first nineteen weeks of the second wave is entirely attributable to mortality from the novel coronavirus.

Data sources for RIVM

To date, RIVM has registered 17,729 COVID-19 deaths. These include 15,820 recorded until February 2021 inclusive (as at 22 June 2021). RIVM receives data on confirmed COVID-19 deaths from municipal health services (GGD) around the country on a daily basis. The actual COVID-19-related death count in the Netherlands is higher because of the following reasons: it is possible that not all people with COVID-19 have themselves tested, there is no reporting obligation for COVID-19 and registration sometimes takes a little longer.

Estimate for week 24

The figures for week 24 are estimates, based on 84 percent of the overall number of death records to be received by CBS. CBS will publish provisional weekly mortality figures for week 24 on Friday 2 July. The figures will be more complete by then.