How many deaths are registered per week?

Mortality in the Netherlands currently stands at 2,900 per week on average. It is higher during winter than during summer.

The higher winter mortality often coincides with outbreaks of influenza and/or the common cold. At the beginning of 2018, for example, there was a significantly longer outbreak of influenza in particular . This led to exceptionally high mortality, with almost 4,100 deaths in week 10 (5 through 11 March).

Winter mortality is relatively high among the elderly. In the first 15 weeks of 2019, the number of deaths among those aged 80 and over exceeded the number in an average week that year by 10 percent on average. It was 3 percent higher among people under the age of 80.

Conversely, mortality is below average among the elderly during the rest of the year, except during summertime heatwaves.

How was the situation at the start of 2020?

In 2020, mortality stood at 3,143 per week on average in the weeks up to and including week 11 (9 to 15 March). This is slightly lower than last year, when the average over the first 11 weeks stood at 3,174. The first weeks of this year were not marked by a significant rise in influenza cases, and temperatures were not particularly low.

As of week 12 (16 to 22 March), the number of deaths increased to 5,082 in week 14 (30 March to 5 April). The rise coincides with the onset of the COVID-19 epidemic. In week 20 (11 to 17 May), approximately 2,750 people died. In the subsequent two weeks, mortality remained around this level and was slightly less than expected for this period.  In week 25 (15 to 21 June), 2,666 people passed away.

The first confirmed COVID-19 patient in the Netherlands was reported on 27 February 2020. The first death involving COVID-19 was reported on 6 March 2020. The COVID-19 outbreak was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) on 11 March 2020.

Deaths registered weekly
Week201720182019*2020*Expected mortality 2020
13568334330623101
23637335932623364
33487336431523153
43626332231793042
53574340331393160
63446351331833192
73417366032543198
83328369132202957
93152393730653093
103054409231723098
1128433733322532153050
1227783430304336093091
1328503225301344523112
1427643040289850803112
1528102860290249732906
1627132760303642943007
1727782663295638982923
1827692645280633712976
1928022641277229712930
2028012606282127603047
2127722674287327512808
22270127762730
23262426792734
24264325572647
25262726012692
26269126192836
27269727262725
28252026712761
29267427042586
30257127673006
31251027602731
32265727452629
33254026052613
34254526122617
35257625272783
36257026132553
37270725392642
38271527062580
39266926962751
40264128062717
41276327602912
42270627392879
43267626712867
44272628152856
45279727983015
46291627613060
47291728593023
48288629073045
49302729683018
50321830173161
51307930413253
52318729013028
* provisional figures

What are the projections?

Statistics Netherlands (CBS) receives mortality data on a daily basis. In general, some time elapses between the actual date of death and the moment when these data reach CBS. Death announcements are collected weekly (on Thursdays). Usually, mortality data collected on Thursday include slightly over 80 percent of all deaths over the previous week. This information provides an indication of what we can expect for the coming week.

From weeks 12 through 25, death announcements arrived faster than usual (the number of announcements received after one week averaged 85 percent of the total, excluding weeks with holidays).

For week 26, it is expected that the weekly number of deaths is approximately equal to week 21 up to and including week 25. The number of death announcements received after one week is 2,310. The mortality is therefore slightly lower than what you normally expect for this period.

Deaths in 2020, weekly figures
WeekDeaths registered weeklyAfter one week
131012460
233642734
331532616
430422496
531602544
631922565
731982611
829572338
930932521
1030982618
1132152629
1236093097
1344523732
1450804351
1549733727
1642943681
1738983021
1833712315
1929712564
2027602405
2127512351
221984
* provisional figures