Manufacturing output over 2 percent down in June

© Hollandse Hoogte / Flip Franssen
The average daily output generated by the Dutch manufacturing industry was 2.2 percent down in June 2019 compared to the same month last year. It is the fourth consecutive month of year-on-year decline. This is reported by Statistics Netherlands (CBS).

Average daily output manufacturing (volume) (year-on-year % change)
jaarmaandchange
2015July0.3
August-1.1
September-0.6
October2.5
November1.9
December2.9
2016January3.5
February0.7
March2.3
April4.4
May2.7
June3.2
July3.3
August2.4
September2.3
October0
November3.4
December6.7
2017January0.4
February4.9
March3
April0.5
May5
June2.4
July2.7
August3.7
September4.8
October5.1
November5.3
December4.4
2018January7.5
February3.2
March3.8
April4.7
May2.9
June3.3
July0.9
August4
September1.7
October2.4
November1.3
December-4.3
2019January0.2
February0.4
March-0.4
April-0.6
May-1.2
June-2.2

Strongest production growth in machinery industry

Of the eight largest industries within manufacturing, the machinery industry recorded the largest output growth at nearly 3 percent. Production also increased in the food industry. However, most industries saw their output decline.

Average daily output manufacturing (volume) by sector, June 2019 (year-on-year % change)
 change
Machinery2.8
Food products2.3
Rubber and plastic products-2.6
Metal products-2.7
Transport equipment-4.5
Chemical products-4.8
Repair and installation of machinery-5.7
Electrical and electronics-7.4
Manufacturing (total)-2.2
Altogether, the industries referred to in the above graph account for approximately 75 percent of the total manufacturing output

Slightly downward trend

A more accurate picture of short-term output developments is obtained when figures are adjusted for seasonal effects and the working-day pattern. After adjustments, a decline is seen in manufacturing output between May and June 2019 of 0.8 percent.

Adjusted for seasonal and working-day effects, manufacturing output is seen to fluctuate significantly. From mid-2014 until the beginning of 2018, the overall trend was upward. Subsequently, the trend has been slightly downward.

Seasonally adjusted average daily output manufacturing (volume) (2015=100)
jaarmaandindex
2015July99.9
August98.8
September99.3
October101.4
November101.5
December100.4
2016January101.9
February101.1
March102.1
April103.4
May102.1
June103.3
July102.9
August101.7
September102.3
October102.5
November105
December106.3
2017January103.1
February105.5
March105.2
April104.6
May106.6
June106.1
July106.1
August105.6
September107.3
October107.7
November109.7
December110.4
2018January110.5
February109.4
March109.4
April109.4
May109.6
June109.3
July107.6
August109.3
September109.1
October109.6
November110.2
December107
2019January110.1
February109.5
March109
April108.6
May108.3
June107.5

Dutch manufacturers more positive

Producer confidence among Dutch manufacturers improved in July 2019. Manufacturers were mainly less negative about future output and more positive about their stocks.

Germany is an important foreign market for the Dutch manufacturing industry. According to the IFO index, in manufacturing the business climate index took a serious tumble in July. It was the strongest decline since the beginning of 2009. In June, the average daily output generated by the German manufacturing industry was over 6 percent lower than in the same month last year.

The figures published in this news release are provisional and subject to revisions.

Sources

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