GDP growth rate remains 1.5 percent in Q2 2017

According to the second estimate conducted by Statistics Netherlands (CBS), gross domestic product (GDP) showed a 1.5 percent growth in Q2 2017 relative to Q1 2017. The second GDP estimate is published 90 days after the end of the quarter.

The growth figure is the same as in the first estimate, which was published on 16 August. Growth is mainly due to an increase in exports and household consumption. Investments were up again as well. GDP has grown continually over the past 13 quarters.

The GDP growth recorded in Q2 is exceptionally high and has only occurred twice before in this century. Future quarterly growth figures will show to what extent the peak in growth in Q2 was an exception.

GDP
 % changeindex
2010 I0.1100.4
2010 II1.8101
2010 III1.6101.3
2010 IV2.1102.6
2011 I3103.3
2011 II2.2103.2
2011 III1.6103.2
2011 IV0.1102.4
2012 I-1.2102.3
2012 II-0.6102.3
2012 III-1.3101.9
2012 IV-1.1101.2
2013 I-1.4101.5
2013 II-1101.3
2013 III0101.9
2013 IV1.6102.5
2014 I0.6102.3
2014 II1.6102.9
2014 III1.6103.3
2014 IV1.9104.5
2015 I2.7105.3
2015 II2.1105.3
2015 III2.4105.7
2015 IV1.8106.1
2016 I1.7106.9
2016 II2.3107.3
2016 III2.4108.2
2016 IV2.4109
2017 I3.2109.7
2017 II3.3111.4

Second estimate

The second estimate is conducted 90 days after the end of the quarter. The first estimate, which is calculated 45 days after the end of the quarter, is based on the most recent data available at that moment. After the first estimate, more new information about the state of the Dutch economy keeps pouring in, e.g. data about the sectors construction business services, hotels and restaurants, government care and the financial sector. These data are subsequently incorporated into new calculations.

In absolute terms, adjustments in the second estimate relative to the first have averaged 0.1 percentage point over the past half decade, with the two extremes at - 0.3 and + 0.5 percentage point.

No adjustments of growth in previous quarters

With each new estimate, CBS also recalculates the seasonally adjusted series of previously published quarters. However, this hasn’t resulted in adjustments of quarter-on-quarter growth in previous quarters.

Growth relative to Q2 2016

Year-on-year, the economic growth rate in Q2 was 3.3 percent, the same as in the first estimate.

53 thousand new jobs

The second estimate shows that the number of employee and self-employed jobs increased by 53 thousand in Q2 2017 compared to Q1 2017. The first estimate suggested an increase of 51 thousand jobs.

In Q2 2017, the second estimate suggested a growth of 202 thousand employee and self-employed jobs compared to the same quarter in 2016, versus 199 thousand according to the first estimate.

Job figures are adjusted when additional information becomes available.

Total jobs (seasonally adjusted)
 change
2010 I-60
2010 II53
2010 III12
2010 IV20
2011 I56
2011 II49
2011 III9
2011 IV-8
2012 I2
2012 II-16
2012 III-34
2012 IV-42
2013 I-52
2013 II-19
2013 III-9
2013 IV-11
2014 I-14
2014 II18
2014 III19
2014 IV25
2015 I40
2015 II29
2015 III26
2015 IV24
2016 I2
2016 II29
2016 III35
2016 IV57
2017 I56
2017 II53

Sources

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