Business confidence at highest level since 2008

At the beginning of Q2 2017, the mood among providers of non-financial services is more positive than ever. Business confidence, the indicator reflecting the mood in the Dutch private sector, improved for the third quarter in a row and reached 15.5 points. The indicator currently stands at the highest level since the business confidence survey was started at the end of 2008. Employment is also anticipated to rise, according to Statistics Netherlands (CBS), the Dutch Chamber of Commerce (KvK), the Economic Institute for Construction and Housing (EIB), the Dutch Organisation for Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises (MKB-Nederland) and the Dutch Employers’ Organisation (VNO-NCW).

Business confidence in the Netherlands, total non-financial private sector
 Business confidence
"08 IV-7
2009 I-24.3
2009 II-29.7
2009 III-23.5
2009 IV-13.5
2010 I-7.1
2010 II0.5
2010 III3.4
2010 IV6.1
2011 I7.2
2011 II10.1
2011 III3.2
2011 IV-4.4
2012 I-6.3
2012 II-6.8
2012 III-8.6
2012 IV-9.2
2013 I-10.7
2013 II-11.7
2013 III-8.7
2013 IV-2.7
2014 I1.6
2014 II4.7
2014 III2.9
2014 IV4.9
2015 I5.6
2015 II5.4
2015 III8.7
2015 IV7.4
2016 I9.3
2016 II8.8
2016 III7.9
2016 IV9.2
2017 I14.7
2017 II15.5

Business confidence up in sectors ICT and mining

The sector information and communication (publishing and ICT companies, media) is distinctly more optimistic (23.4) than in the previous quarter. The indicator soared by nearly 12 points, the biggest improvement compared to other sectors.
Business confidence in the sector mining was also up from the preceding five quarters, but with -2.8, the indicator is still negative.

Optimism prevails across nearly all sectors

Apart from mining, the mood is positive across all sectors. With 34.7, the construction sector accounts for the highest score, just as in the preceding two quarters. The confidence indicator in the construction sector - already relatively high - has improved further. Business confidence is also relatively high in the wholesale sector.

Business confidence by sector
 Q1 2017Q2 2017
Construction27.234.7
Wholesale25.227.4
Information and communication11.523.4
Hotels and restaurants14.919.8
Business services17.816.6
Real estate activities19.610.4
Car dealers2.79.1
Retail trade129
Manufacturing industry68.3
Transport and storage8.17.4
Mining-14.6-2.6

Number of jobs expected to grow

The number of entrepreneurs expecting employment to rise has continued to grow. On balance, over 16 percent expect to recruit staff in Q2. This percentage has not been so high since the survey was first carried out in 2008. In Q2 2016, more than 8 percent of Dutch entrepreneurs believe employment will grow.
Most business owners in the construction sector think staff numbers will increase: nearly 32 percent. Apart from mining, all sectors foresee an increase in staff levels.

Anticipated increase/decrease staff numbers current quarter
 Staff numbers
"08 IV-1.1
2009 I-21
2009 II-21.9
2009 III-22.3
2009 IV-15.7
2010 I-13
2010 II-2.9
2010 III-3.4
2010 IV1.8
2011 I-2.9
2011 II3.7
2011 III2.1
2011 IV-8.2
2012 I-10.5
2012 II-8.2
2012 III-15.2
2012 IV-17.5
2013 I-19.7
2013 II-12.6
2013 III-14.6
2013 IV-15.5
2014 I-13.3
2014 II-2.4
2014 III-5.3
2014 IV-5.3
2015 I-6.1
2015 II3.1
2015 III2.3
2015 IV3
2016 I1
2016 II8.4
2016 III5.9
2016 IV5.7
"17 I8.7
"17 II16.2

This is a joint publication by:

 

Logo ondernemersvertouwen