Key figures of the population forecasts 2020-2070

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Key figures of the population forecasts 2020-2070
Forecast(-interval) Periods Total population (number) Age groups 0 to 20 years (number) Age groups 20 to 65 years (number) Age groups 65 years and older (number) Demographic pressure Total pressure (%) Demographic pressure Green pressure (%) Demographic pressure Grey pressure (%) Live births (number) Total fertility rate (number) Deaths (number) Period life expectancy At birth Total (year) Period life expectancy At birth Men (year) Period life expectancy At birth Women (year) Period life expectancy At age 65 Total (year) Period life expectancy At age 65 Men (year) Period life expectancy At age 65 Women (year) External migration Emigration (incl. net adm. corr.) (number)
Forecast 2020 168,344 1.54 164,087 81.68 80.05 83.27 19.69 18.42 20.89 151,812
Forecast 2030 18,354,256 3,729,278 10,389,077 4,235,901 76.7 35.9 40.8 200,583 1.69 174,762 83.79 82.16 85.42 21.27 20.04 22.48 234,416
Forecast 2040 19,072,444 3,995,983 10,255,200 4,821,260 86.0 39.0 47.0 195,463 1.70 197,143 85.37 83.65 87.09 22.43 21.11 23.74 239,639
Forecast 2050 19,481,782 4,098,236 10,544,914 4,838,631 84.8 38.9 45.9 188,228 1.70 207,587 86.81 85.04 88.57 23.53 22.15 24.89 242,043
Forecast 2060 19,830,216 4,037,726 10,799,558 4,992,932 83.6 37.4 46.2 203,384 1.70 206,499 88.11 86.32 89.89 24.55 23.13 25.94 244,388
Forecast 2070 20,423,376 4,216,787 10,867,520 5,339,070 87.9 38.8 49.1 210,064 1.70 189,963 89.29 87.50 91.06 25.49 24.06 26.89 245,408
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2020 164,381 1.51 157,730 81.32 79.69 82.91 19.40 18.14 20.59 143,845
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2030 18,054,488 3,619,288 10,201,475 4,140,467 75.2 35.1 39.6 184,254 1.57 159,296 82.58 80.95 84.21 20.27 19.07 21.46 210,173
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2040 18,431,248 3,729,858 9,912,264 4,581,089 82.5 36.7 44.5 172,900 1.53 177,400 83.70 81.98 85.42 21.01 19.73 22.28 209,447
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2050 18,454,720 3,661,786 9,997,050 4,479,268 80.1 35.6 42.1 160,467 1.50 186,301 84.78 83.01 86.54 21.76 20.43 23.07 206,647
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2060 18,466,454 3,490,751 10,078,503 4,551,820 78.7 33.7 41.8 165,224 1.47 187,784 85.78 83.99 87.56 22.47 21.11 23.80 207,085
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2070 18,700,032 3,506,242 9,953,810 4,830,870 82.4 34.1 44.0 164,741 1.44 170,399 86.69 84.90 88.46 23.12 21.76 24.45 206,078
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2020 172,358 1.58 170,898 82.04 80.41 83.63 19.98 18.70 21.19 160,095
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2030 18,656,288 3,833,025 10,597,275 4,321,115 77.9 36.7 41.8 216,400 1.81 192,228 85.00 83.37 86.63 22.27 21.01 23.50 263,545
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2040 19,707,756 4,264,903 10,653,393 5,021,918 88.7 41.1 49.2 216,201 1.87 218,983 87.04 85.32 88.76 23.85 22.49 25.20 275,331
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2050 20,458,514 4,483,385 11,101,810 5,151,872 88.5 41.7 49.1 213,497 1.90 229,372 88.84 87.07 90.60 25.30 23.87 26.71 281,638
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2060 21,137,264 4,547,692 11,526,786 5,413,487 88.1 40.6 50.4 238,984 1.93 228,870 90.44 88.65 92.22 26.63 25.15 28.08 286,816
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2070 21,976,160 4,894,538 11,739,966 5,810,873 93.5 43.0 54.4 254,104 1.96 211,211 91.89 90.10 93.66 27.86 26.36 29.33 287,349
Source: CBS.
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This table contains forecasts (including intervals) of the population of The Netherlands on 1 January by age groups (three age-groups) and population dynamics: live births, deaths and external migration. Furthermore, the table contains information about the total fertility rate, demographic pressure and (period) life expectancy at birth and at age 65 by sex.

Data available from: 2020-2070

Status of the figures:
The figures in this table are calculated forecasts.

Changes as of 15 December 2023:
None, this table was discontinued. See section 3 for the successor of this table.

Changes as of 16 December 2020:
In this new table, the previous forecast is adjusted based on the most recent insights, the forecast period now runs from 2020 to 2070.

When will new figures be published?
New figures will appear December 2026.

Description topics

Total population
Age groups
0 to 20 years
20 to 65 years
65 years and older
Demographic pressure
Ratio between number of people aged over 65 and younger than 20, and the number of 20 to 65 year-olds. This ratio is an indicator of the pressure of the non-active population on the labour force.
Total pressure
The sum of the number of people aged between 0 and 20 and people aged 65 and over, in relation to people aged 20 to 65.
Green pressure
The ratio between the number of people aged 0 to 20 and the number of people aged 20 to 65.
Grey pressure
The ratio between the number of people aged 65 or over and the number of people aged 20 to 65.
Live births
Total fertility rate
The total fertility rate gives an indication of how many children women have on average. In order to calculate this figure, age-specific fertility rates observed in a given calendar year are used which apply to every childbearing age (ages between 15 and 50).
Deaths
Period life expectancy
Period life expectancy (at a given age)
The average number of years a person would live, if he or she experienced the age-specific mortality rates for that time period throughout his or her life.
At birth
Period life expectancy at birth
The average number of years a person would live, if he or she experienced the age-specific mortality rates for that time period throughout his or her life.
Total
Men
Women
At age 65
Period life expectancy at age 65
The average number of years a person would live after the 65th birthday, if he or she experienced the age-specific mortality rates for that time period throughout his or her remaining life.
Total
Men
Women
External migration
Emigration (incl. net adm. corr.)
Departure from the Netherlands to another country (including net
administrative corrections).