Key figures of the population forecasts 2020-2070

Key figures of the population forecasts 2020-2070

Forecast(-interval) Periods Total population (number) Live births (number) Deaths (number) External migration Immigration (number) External migration Emigration (incl. net adm. corr.) (number) External migration Net migration (incl. net adm. corr.) (number)
Forecast 2020 168,344 164,087 210,629 151,812 58,817
Forecast 2030 18,354,256 200,583 174,762 296,781 234,416 62,365
Forecast 2040 19,072,444 195,463 197,143 293,245 239,639 53,606
Forecast 2050 19,481,782 188,228 207,587 293,201 242,043 51,158
Forecast 2060 19,830,216 203,384 206,499 294,215 244,388 49,827
Forecast 2070 20,423,376 210,064 189,963 294,968 245,408 49,560
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2020 164,381 157,730 194,866 143,845 42,616
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2030 18,054,488 184,254 159,296 251,649 210,173 24,530
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2040 18,431,248 172,900 177,400 239,554 209,447 11,160
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2050 18,454,720 160,467 186,301 233,800 206,647 7,441
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2060 18,466,454 165,224 187,784 231,564 207,085 6,159
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2070 18,700,032 164,741 170,399 236,427 206,078 4,881
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2020 172,358 170,898 228,950 160,095 76,551
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2030 18,656,288 216,400 192,228 350,398 263,545 103,632
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2040 19,707,756 216,201 218,983 354,726 275,331 96,534
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2050 20,458,514 213,497 229,372 357,051 281,638 92,867
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2060 21,137,264 238,984 228,870 359,541 286,816 91,538
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2070 21,976,160 254,104 211,211 357,954 287,349 94,360
Source: CBS.
Explanation of symbols

Table description


This table contains forecasts (including intervals) of the population of The Netherlands on 1 January by age groups (three age-groups) and population dynamics: live births, deaths and external migration. Furthermore, the table contains information about the total fertility rate, demographic pressure and (period) life expectancy at birth and at age 65 by sex.

Data available from: 2020-2070

Status of the figures:
The figures in this table are calculated forecasts.

Changes as of 16 December 2020:
In this new table, the previous forecast is adjusted based on the most recent insights, the forecast period now runs from 2020 to 2070.

When will new figures be published?
New figures will appear December 2023.

Description topics

Total population
Live births
Deaths
External migration
Immigration
Arrival in the Netherlands from another country.
Emigration (incl. net adm. corr.)
Departure from the Netherlands to another country (including net
administrative corrections).
Net migration (incl. net adm. corr.)
Immigration minus emigration (including net administrative corrections).