Producer confidence; sentiment indicator manufacturing industry, branches


Producer confidence is a sentiment indicator for the manufacturing industry that indicates the direction in which manufacturing production is expected to develop. The indicator is an unweighted arithmetic average of three component indicators from the Business sentiment survey of the manufacturing industry. Before the Producer confidence is calculated, seasonal and bias effects are removed from the three component indicators. The questions concern the expected activity in the next three months, opinion on order books and opinion on stocks of finished products. Results of the latter question are inverted when calculating the producer confidence, since a surplus of finished products is seen as something negative.

The more optimistic or pessimistic manufacturing companies are, the more positive or negative the value of the producer confidence indicator is compared with the zero line, and the greater the expectation that manufacturing production in the coming months will increase or decrease respectively. The producer confidence indicator has been available since 1985. For the sectors of manufacturing industry given in this table, the results are available from the start of 1994.
This publication is created using co-financing by the European Commission.

Data available from: January 1985

Status of the figures:
Figures are definite.

Changes as of 30 July 2020:
Figures of July 2020 for the sectors of manufacturing industry have been added.

When will new figures be published
August 2020 figures are expected to be published on 28 August 2020.

Producer confidence; sentiment indicator manufacturing industry, branches

Sector/branches (SIC 2008) Periods Producer confidence (%) Producer confidence indicator componentsExpected activity (%) Producer confidence indicator componentsOpinion on order books (%) Producer confidence indicator componentsStocks of finished products (%)
C Manufacturing 2019 August 3.9 2.0 7.5 2.3
C Manufacturing 2019 September 3.3 2.0 8.4 -0.4
C Manufacturing 2019 October 3.6 3.1 8.0 -0.2
C Manufacturing 2019 November 2.8 1.4 7.8 -0.8
C Manufacturing 2019 December 2.9 0.4 8.7 -0.2
C Manufacturing 2020 January 2.5 1.8 6.1 -0.3
C Manufacturing 2020 February 3.7 3.1 7.4 0.5
C Manufacturing 2020 March 0.2 -8.0 8.2 0.3
C Manufacturing 2020 April -28.7 -65.0 -15.4 -5.8
C Manufacturing 2020 May -25.1 -44.9 -26.4 -4.0
C Manufacturing 2020 June -15.1 -14.7 -25.3 -5.2
C Manufacturing 2020 July -8.7 1.1 -21.7 -5.3
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages 2019 August 3.3 2.7 6.4 0.8
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages 2019 September 3.2 2.3 6.1 1.3
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages 2019 October 4.5 2.1 8.8 2.7
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages 2019 November 3.4 3.3 8.1 -1.2
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages 2019 December 5.4 7.8 9.1 -0.7
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages 2020 January 8.5 12.7 12.0 0.9
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages 2020 February 3.3 -2.0 10.3 1.7
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages 2020 March -2.3 -16.0 7.4 1.7
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages 2020 April -18.3 -43.9 -10.5 -0.5
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages 2020 May -22.2 -36.6 -21.3 -8.6
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages 2020 June -12.7 1.2 -19.9 -19.4
10-12 Manufacture of food and beverages 2020 July -4.3 12.5 -13.1 -12.3
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts 2019 August 11.7 13.4 15.4 6.3
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts 2019 September 9.2 5.7 21.8 0.1
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts 2019 October 11.6 3.7 22.3 8.7
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts 2019 November 6.6 4.5 11.2 4.1
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts 2019 December 7.5 4.4 16.2 1.9
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts 2020 January 7.3 9.6 11.7 0.5
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts 2020 February 16.1 22.6 16.1 9.5
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts 2020 March 10.1 12.3 16.5 1.5
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts 2020 April -38.9 -97.9 -25.8 6.9
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts 2020 May -30.1 -45.9 -38.2 -6.2
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts 2020 June -27.3 -15.4 -43.2 -23.2
13-15 Man. of textile-, leatherproducts 2020 July -6.2 26.6 -23.0 -22.3
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial 2019 August 10.3 9.0 23.2 -1.4
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial 2019 September 15.3 21.2 26.2 -1.6
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial 2019 October 14.4 16.8 26.2 0.1
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial 2019 November 9.2 5.1 19.2 3.2
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial 2019 December 14.2 14.9 23.7 4.1
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial 2020 January 2.1 -8.6 24.6 -9.6
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial 2020 February 6.8 -5.8 10.0 16.1
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial 2020 March 1.5 -9.9 9.0 5.4
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial 2020 April -25.2 -65.7 -9.2 -0.7
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial 2020 May -21.0 -46.1 -22.8 5.8
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial 2020 June -1.3 -12.9 10.8 -1.7
16+23 Man of wooden and buildingmaterial 2020 July 5.5 -7.4 24.9 -1.1
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing 2019 August 0.5 -5.1 -0.1 6.8
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing 2019 September 6.3 -3.4 10.8 11.5
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing 2019 October 9.9 0.4 13.4 15.8
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing 2019 November 6.5 0.4 9.6 9.5
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing 2019 December 8.0 0.8 12.6 10.6
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing 2020 January 9.9 11.0 13.5 5.2
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing 2020 February 8.6 8.3 6.2 11.1
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing 2020 March 5.0 3.4 2.6 9.1
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing 2020 April -20.7 -53.8 -18.9 10.6
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing 2020 May -24.0 -51.1 -22.8 1.8
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing 2020 June -14.2 -25.2 -29.0 11.4
17-18 Manufacture of paper and printing 2020 July -1.8 15.0 -23.6 3.0
19-22 Refineries and chemistry 2019 August 4.5 6.2 6.8 0.7
19-22 Refineries and chemistry 2019 September 2.1 2.5 5.8 -2.0
19-22 Refineries and chemistry 2019 October 2.4 5.6 3.2 -1.4
19-22 Refineries and chemistry 2019 November 6.1 9.2 8.4 0.6
19-22 Refineries and chemistry 2019 December 0.6 4.2 3.2 -5.4
19-22 Refineries and chemistry 2020 January 1.2 -2.8 9.5 -3.0
19-22 Refineries and chemistry 2020 February 4.9 10.8 7.2 -3.4
19-22 Refineries and chemistry 2020 March 2.1 -2.0 6.7 1.6
19-22 Refineries and chemistry 2020 April -25.3 -56.5 -8.5 -11.0
19-22 Refineries and chemistry 2020 May -23.6 -39.3 -22.0 -9.3
19-22 Refineries and chemistry 2020 June -14.7 -8.3 -23.4 -12.4
19-22 Refineries and chemistry 2020 July -5.4 5.8 -11.2 -10.9
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products 2019 August 5.4 -2.2 10.9 7.7
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products 2019 September 0.4 0.9 9.5 -9.2
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products 2019 October 1.2 1.9 10.9 -9.2
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products 2019 November -0.5 -3.6 10.3 -8.4
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products 2019 December 2.0 -1.0 15.5 -8.5
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products 2020 January 3.8 6.3 4.4 0.6
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products 2020 February 4.6 3.9 9.0 0.9
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products 2020 March 0.7 -9.8 13.0 -1.3
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products 2020 April -32.7 -67.1 -17.3 -13.7
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products 2020 May -29.7 -53.1 -26.0 -10.2
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products 2020 June -28.8 -38.5 -38.9 -8.9
24-25 Man. of basic metals and -products 2020 July -20.4 -13.4 -36.6 -11.1
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery 2019 August 10.0 13.9 12.7 3.4
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery 2019 September 7.3 6.6 11.1 4.1
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery 2019 October 5.4 5.3 10.3 0.6
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery 2019 November 2.2 -2.8 7.4 1.9
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery 2019 December 1.2 -11.6 8.5 6.7
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery 2020 January 0.3 -7.4 8.4 -0.1
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery 2020 February 2.3 0.1 7.6 -0.9
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery 2020 March -0.7 -14.3 10.7 1.7
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery 2020 April -27.1 -70.5 -7.6 -3.2
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery 2020 May -20.0 -43.2 -16.4 -0.4
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery 2020 June -8.3 -11.1 -14.7 1.0
26-28 Manufact of electronics, machinery 2020 July -8.2 -3.4 -20.9 -0.3
29-30 Transport equipment 2019 August -5.5 -24.1 8.3 -0.8
29-30 Transport equipment 2019 September -11.4 -33.1 -1.3 0.1
29-30 Transport equipment 2019 October -6.2 -13.3 -1.5 -3.9
29-30 Transport equipment 2019 November -7.2 -13.0 -4.5 -4.2
Source: CBS.
Explanation of symbols