Manufacturing output 3 percent up in March

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© Hollandse Hoogte
In March 2021, the average daily output generated by the Dutch manufacturing industry was 3.0 percent up on March 2020, according to Statistics Netherlands (CBS). In the previous month, output was down by 2.3 percent. In April 2021, the mood among Dutch manufacturers improved further.

Average daily output manufacturing (volume)
jaarmaandchange (year-on-year % change)
2017April0.5
2017May5
2017June2.4
2017July2.7
2017August3.7
2017September4.8
2017October5.1
2017November5.3
2017December4.4
2018January7.5
2018February3.2
2018March3.8
2018April4.7
2018May2.9
2018June3.3
2018July0.9
2018August4
2018September1.7
2018October2.4
2018November1.3
2018December-4.3
2019January-0.6
2019February-0.1
2019March-0.8
2019April-0.3
2019May-0.9
2019June-2.5
2019July0
2019August-1.7
2019September1.2
2019Oktober0.5
2019November-1.6
2019December-1.2
2020January1.6
2020February-0.7
2020March-1.8
2020April-10.8
2020May-12
2020June-9.4
2020July-4.9
2020August-4
2020September-6.5
2020October-4.1
2020November-2.9
2020December0
2021January0.7
2021February-2.3
2021March3.0

Output growth in more than half of the industries

In March, more than half of all industries saw their output increase on an annual basis. The transport equipment industry achieved the highest growth. This is partly because a number of companies in this sector closed their factories completely in the last weeks of March last year.

Average daily output manufacturing (volume) by sector, March 2021
Categorychange (year-on-year % change)
Transport equipment17.1
Machinery11.8
Rubber and plastic products8.9
Electrical and electronics4.2
Chemical products3
Metal products1.7
Food products-2.9
Repair and installation of machinery-23
Manufacturing (total)3
Altogether, the industries referred to in the above graph account for approximately 75 percent of the total manufacturing output

Manufacturing output bounces back

A more accurate picture of short-term output developments is obtained when figures are adjusted for seasonal effects and the working-day pattern. After adjustments, an increase of 3.1 percent is seen in manufacturing output between February and March 2021.

Adjusted for seasonal and working-day effects, manufacturing output is seen to fluctuate significantly. From mid-2014 until the beginning of 2018, the overall trend was upward. Subsequently, the trend has been downward. A low point was reached in May 2020. After that, output picked up again.

Seasonally adjusted average daily output manufacturing (volume)
jaarmaandindex (2015=100)
2017April104.6
2017May106.6
2017June106.1
2017July106.1
2017August105.6
2017September107.3
2017October107.7
2017November109.7
2017December110.4
2018January110.5
2018February109.4
2018March109.4
2018April109.4
2018May109.6
2018June109.3
2018July107.6
2018August109.3
2018September109.1
2018October109.6
2018November110.2
2018December107
2019January109.6
2019February109.2
2019March108.8
2019April108.9
2019May108.5
2019June107.3
2019July107.5
2019August107.8
2019September109.5
2019October109.7
2019November108.4
2019December106.5
2020January109.3
2020February107.4
2020March106.2
2020April97.7
2020May96.2
2020June99.1
2020July102.8
2020August103.4
2020September103.5
2020October105.3
2020November105.3
2020December106
2021January109
2021February105.4
2021March108.6

Producer confidence at highest level in two years

In April 2021, the mood among Dutch manufacturers improved further and producer confidence reached its highest level in two years. The industrial capacity utilisation rate stood at 81.7 percent at the start of Q2 2021. This was higher than at the start of Q1, but still lower than before the coronavirus crisis.

Germany is an important foreign market for the Dutch manufacturing industry. In April, German producer confidence improved to the highest level in three years, according to the Business Climate Index of the IFO Institute. Companies reported greatly improved business, but optimism declined with regard to future output. In March, the average daily output generated by the German manufacturing industry grew by almost 6 percent year-on-year, as reported by Destatis.

The figures published in this news release are provisional and subject to revisions.