Manufacturing output 0.6 percent up in January

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© Hollandse Hoogte / Marcel van den Bergh
In January 2021, the average daily output generated by the Dutch manufacturing industry was 0.6 percent up on January 2020. The increase is slightly higher than in December, when output was 0.2 percent higher than one year previously.

Average daily output manufacturing (volume)
jaarmaandchange (year-on-year % change)
2017February4.9
2017March3
2017April0.5
2017May5
2017June2.4
2017July2.7
2017August3.7
2017September4.8
2017October5.1
2017November5.3
2017December4.4
2018January7.5
2018February3.2
2018March3.8
2018April4.7
2018May2.9
2018June3.3
2018July0.9
2018August4
2018September1.7
2018October2.4
2018November1.3
2018December-4.3
2019January-0.6
2019February-0.1
2019March-0.8
2019April-0.3
2019May-0.9
2019June-2.5
2019July0
2019August-1.7
2019September1.2
2019Oktober0.5
2019November-1.6
2019December-1.2
2020January1.4
2020February-0.9
2020March-1.9
2020April-10.9
2020May-12.1
2020June-9.7
2020July-4.9
2020August-3.8
2020September-6.6
2020October-4
2020November-2.9
2020December0.2
2021January0.6

Output growth in almost half of the industries

In January, almost half of the industries saw their output grow on an annual basis. Of the industries within manufacturing, the machinery industry recorded the strongest output growth. 

Average daily output manufacturing (volume) by sector, January 2021
Categorychange (year-on-year % change)
Machinery6.3
Rubber and plastic products4.9
Metal products2.3
Electrical and electronics1.1
Chemical products1
Food products-0.9
Transport equipment-3.6
Repair and installation of machinery-22.2
Manufacturing (total)0.6
Altogether, the industries referred to in the above graph account for approximately 75 percent of the total manufacturing output

Manufacturing output recovers further

A more accurate picture of short-term output developments is obtained when figures are adjusted for seasonal effects and the working-day pattern. After adjustments, an increase of 2.4 percent is seen in manufacturing output between December 2020 and January 2021. 

Adjusted for seasonal and working-day effects, manufacturing output is seen to fluctuate significantly. From mid-2014 until the beginning of 2018, the overall trend was upward. Subsequently, the trend has been downward. A low point was reached in May 2020. After that, output picked up again; in January, it was back at around the same level as before the coronavirus crisis.

Seasonally adjusted average daily output manufacturing (volume)
jaarmaandindex (2015=100)
2017February105.5
2017March105.2
2017April104.6
2017May106.6
2017June106.1
2017July106.1
2017August105.6
2017September107.3
2017October107.7
2017November109.7
2017December110.4
2018January110.5
2018February109.4
2018March109.4
2018April109.4
2018May109.6
2018June109.3
2018July107.6
2018August109.3
2018September109.1
2018October109.6
2018November110.2
2018December107
2019January109.6
2019February109.2
2019March108.8
2019April108.9
2019May108.5
2019June107.3
2019July107.5
2019August107.8
2019September109.5
2019October109.7
2019November108.4
2019December106.5
2020January109.8
2020February107.8
2020March106.5
2020April97.6
2020May96.0
2020June98.5
2020July102.6
2020August103.4
2020September103.1
2020October105.2
2020November105.3
2020December106.4
2021January108.9

Producer confidence slightly lower in February

In February 2021, the mood among Dutch manufacturers deteriorated slightly. Manufacturers were less positive about their future output and their stocks of finished products.

Germany is an important foreign market for the Dutch manufacturing industry. According to the Business Climate Index of the IFO Institute, producer confidence improved in February 2021. This is due to both more optimistic future output expectations and more optimistic opinions on the current situation. In January, the average daily output generated by the German industry contracted by over 3 percent year-on-year, as reported by Destatis.

The figures published in this news release are provisional and subject to revisions.