Key figures of the population forecasts 2023-2070
| Forecast(-interval) | Periods | Total population (number) | Live births (number) | Deaths (number) | External migration Immigration (number) | External migration Emigration (incl. net adm. corr.) (number) | External migration Net migration (incl. net adm. corr.) (number) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecast | 2024 | 17,951,318 | 165,276 | 169,522 | 323,309 | 201,224 | 122,085 |
| Forecast | 2030 | 18,474,560 | 182,826 | 176,136 | 308,688 | 241,718 | 66,970 |
| Forecast | 2040 | 19,186,084 | 197,832 | 198,463 | 309,565 | 248,877 | 60,688 |
| Forecast | 2050 | 19,683,506 | 190,917 | 208,930 | 310,012 | 252,514 | 57,498 |
| Forecast | 2060 | 20,055,186 | 194,550 | 207,979 | 310,499 | 255,182 | 55,317 |
| Forecast | 2070 | 20,614,380 | 209,457 | 192,570 | 311,608 | 257,671 | 53,937 |
| Lower limit 67% forecast-interval | 2024 | 17,928,836 | 159,546 | 160,380 | 295,164 | 188,516 | 93,195 |
| Lower limit 67% forecast-interval | 2030 | 18,256,200 | 169,816 | 161,406 | 263,102 | 218,216 | 25,568 |
| Lower limit 67% forecast-interval | 2040 | 18,601,380 | 175,887 | 177,104 | 251,544 | 217,518 | 15,408 |
| Lower limit 67% forecast-interval | 2050 | 18,700,708 | 162,681 | 188,634 | 249,844 | 218,365 | 11,086 |
| Lower limit 67% forecast-interval | 2060 | 18,715,668 | 158,831 | 188,673 | 244,568 | 217,971 | 4,714 |
| Lower limit 67% forecast-interval | 2070 | 18,895,360 | 165,353 | 172,939 | 246,586 | 216,435 | 7,317 |
| Upper limit 67% forecast-interval | 2024 | 17,974,202 | 171,550 | 178,910 | 351,898 | 214,710 | 151,497 |
| Upper limit 67% forecast-interval | 2030 | 18,691,740 | 196,454 | 193,225 | 359,420 | 269,090 | 108,615 |
| Upper limit 67% forecast-interval | 2040 | 19,773,032 | 219,886 | 218,771 | 368,830 | 282,458 | 105,323 |
| Upper limit 67% forecast-interval | 2050 | 20,624,844 | 219,421 | 231,127 | 380,945 | 293,864 | 106,152 |
| Upper limit 67% forecast-interval | 2060 | 21,328,288 | 227,999 | 229,838 | 379,681 | 298,715 | 102,593 |
| Upper limit 67% forecast-interval | 2070 | 22,265,588 | 253,406 | 213,430 | 381,544 | 302,112 | 105,424 |
| Source: CBS. | |||||||
Dataset is not available.
This table contains forecasts (including intervals) of the population of The Netherlands on 1 January by age groups (three age-groups) and population dynamics: live births, deaths and external migration. Furthermore, the table contains information about the total fertility rate, demographic pressure and (period) life expectancy at birth and at age 65 by sex.
Data available from: 2023-2070
Status of the figures:
The figures in this table are calculated forecasts.
Changes as of 15 December 2023:
In this new table, the previous forecast is adjusted based on the most recent insights, the forecast period now runs from 2023 to 2070.
When will new figures be published?
New figures will appear December 2026.
Description topics
- Total population
- Live births
- Deaths
- External migration
- Immigration
- Arrival in the Netherlands from another country.
- Emigration (incl. net adm. corr.)
- Departure from the Netherlands to another country (including net
administrative corrections).
- Net migration (incl. net adm. corr.)
- Immigration minus emigration (including net administrative corrections).