Population forecasts; key figures, 2002 - 2050

Population forecasts; key figures, 2002 - 2050

Forecast(-interval) Periods Total population (absolute) Age groups 0-19 years (absolute) Age groups 20-64 years (absolute) Age groups 65 years and older (absolute) Age groups % 0-19 years (%) Age groups % 20-64 years (%) Age groups % 65 years and older (%) Demographic burden (%) Live births (absolute) Total fertility rate (absolute) Deaths (absolute) Life expectancy at birth Life expectancy men (year) Life expectancy at birth Life expectancy women (year) External migration Immigration (absolute) External migration Emigration (absolute) External migration Net migration (absolute)
Forecast 2002 202,249 1.73 140,638 75.94 80.71 122,014 87,073 34,941
Forecast 2010 16,667,122 4,008,926 10,170,947 2,487,258 24.1 61.0 14.9 63.87 181,882 1.75 155,894 77.04 80.72 120,368 86,027 34,341
Forecast 2020 17,211,923 3,895,586 10,126,504 3,189,830 22.6 58.8 18.5 69.96 189,422 1.75 175,479 77.97 81.13 125,988 91,911 34,077
Forecast 2030 17,606,563 3,889,837 9,893,844 3,822,882 22.1 56.2 21.7 77.95 195,985 1.75 202,352 78.63 81.66 125,991 94,011 31,980
Forecast 2040 17,714,591 3,986,049 9,601,257 4,127,281 22.5 54.2 23.3 84.50 189,094 1.75 225,797 79.13 82.14 125,986 94,382 31,604
Forecast 2050 17,615,232 3,935,712 9,791,040 3,888,477 22.3 55.6 22.1 79.91 189,927 1.75 231,282 79.55 82.55 125,984 95,329 30,655
95% Lower limit forecast-interval 2002 193,224 1.65 129,885 75.14 79.90 95,612 76,650 7,445
95% Lower limit forecast-interval 2010 16,252,404 3,853,426 9,911,418 2,375,822 23.5 60.4 14.3 62.28 154,734 1.53 131,361 74.59 78.27 64,545 60,026 -16,387
95% Lower limit forecast-interval 2020 16,107,329 3,415,737 9,484,416 2,878,974 20.8 57.3 16.8 65.36 148,466 1.41 143,716 74.24 77.40 65,996 60,029 -11,638
95% Lower limit forecast-interval 2030 15,776,407 3,109,985 8,905,003 3,247,475 19.0 53.8 18.6 70.11 142,196 1.30 164,666 74.14 77.17 65,500 57,336 -12,350
95% Lower limit forecast-interval 2040 15,082,786 2,929,671 8,216,839 3,269,108 18.2 51.1 19.0 73.00 123,349 1.26 181,624 73.80 76.81 65,444 56,022 -10,600
95% Lower limit forecast-interval 2050 14,245,937 2,649,048 8,020,333 2,899,281 17.2 51.7 17.1 67.69 108,485 1.21 188,767 73.51 76.51 65,423 52,820 -12,001
95% Upper limit forecast-interval 2002 211,175 1.81 151,885 76.77 81.53 150,660 97,539 65,067
95% Upper limit forecast-interval 2010 17,140,592 4,169,737 10,467,434 2,586,090 24.6 61.6 15.5 65.47 206,888 1.98 185,453 79.44 83.13 191,608 113,031 98,212
95% Upper limit forecast-interval 2020 18,505,477 4,394,043 10,921,659 3,470,482 24.3 60.5 20.1 74.52 234,101 2.07 215,334 81.26 84.42 210,920 130,121 101,741
95% Upper limit forecast-interval 2030 19,860,117 4,838,848 11,246,098 4,342,687 24.8 58.8 24.6 85.70 256,137 2.16 250,062 83.02 86.06 215,425 137,941 95,722
95% Upper limit forecast-interval 2040 20,983,532 5,297,720 11,476,915 4,906,618 26.0 57.8 27.6 95.65 270,086 2.23 274,669 83.93 86.93 216,894 145,067 94,480
95% Upper limit forecast-interval 2050 21,847,808 5,599,789 12,200,560 4,904,147 26.8 59.6 27.3 93.28 299,776 2.28 282,573 85.35 88.35 217,439 145,277 96,149
Source: CBS.
Explanation of symbols

Table description

Population forecasts: key figures
Most important key indicators of the population forecasts
2002 - 2050
Changed on December 13 2004.
Frequency: Discontinued.

Description topics

Total population
Age groups
0-19 years
20-64 years
65 years and older
% 0-19 years
% 20-64 years
% 65 years and older
Demographic burden
Ratio between number of people aged over 65 and younger than 20,
and the number of 20-64 year-olds. This ratio is an indicator of the
pressure of the non-active population on the labour force.
Live births
Total fertility rate
The total fertility rate gives an indication of how many children women
have on average. In order to calculate this figure, age-specific fertility
rates observed in a given calendar year are used which apply to
every childbearing age (ages between 15 and 50).
Deaths
Life expectancy at birth
The number of years men or women can expect to live at the moment they
are born.
Life expectancy men
Life expectancy women
External migration
Immigration
Arrival in the Netherlands from another country.
Emigration
Departure from the Netherlands to another country.
Net migration
Immigration minus emigration.