Economic picture remains equally negative
The CBS Business Cycle Tracer is a tool used to monitor the state of the Dutch economy. It provides an overall macroeconomic picture of the past month or quarter, based on all figures published by CBS. This picture will still vary between households, enterprises or regions, however.
| Year | Month | cycle (distance to the long-term trend (=0)) |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | September | 0.58 |
| 2021 | October | 0.67 |
| 2021 | November | 0.7 |
| 2021 | December | 0.73 |
| 2022 | January | 0.79 |
| 2022 | February | 0.79 |
| 2022 | March | 0.81 |
| 2022 | April | 0.86 |
| 2022 | May | 0.86 |
| 2022 | June | 0.88 |
| 2022 | July | 0.93 |
| 2022 | August | 0.91 |
| 2022 | September | 0.9 |
| 2022 | October | 0.87 |
| 2022 | November | 0.81 |
| 2022 | December | 0.77 |
| 2023 | January | 0.69 |
| 2023 | February | 0.64 |
| 2023 | March | 0.6 |
| 2023 | April | 0.48 |
| 2023 | May | 0.4 |
| 2023 | June | 0.31 |
| 2023 | July | 0.15 |
| 2023 | August | 0.04 |
| 2023 | September | -0.06 |
| 2023 | October | -0.2 |
| 2023 | November | -0.28 |
| 2023 | December | -0.36 |
| 2024 | January | -0.45 |
| 2024 | February | -0.49 |
| 2024 | March | -0.51 |
| 2024 | April | -0.56 |
| 2024 | May | -0.56 |
| 2024 | June | -0.56 |
| 2024 | July | -0.6 |
| 2024 | August | -0.58 |
| 2024 | September | -0.56 |
| 2024 | October | -0.56 |
| 2024 | November | -0.52 |
| 2024 | December | -0.49 |
| 2025 | January | -0.52 |
| 2025 | February | -0.52 |
| 2025 | March | -0.54 |
| 2025 | April | -0.62 |
| 2025 | May | -0.64 |
| 2025 | June | -0.66 |
| 2025 | July | -0.72 |
| 2025 | August | -0.72 |
Consumers equally negative, producers less negative
Consumers remained equally negative in August as in July. Producers were less negative than they were in July. Consumer and producer confidence were below the long-term average for the past twenty years.
| Year | Month | Consumer confidence (average of the component questions) | Producer confidence (average of the component questions) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | September | -5 | 9.1 |
| 2021 | October | -10 | 10.4 |
| 2021 | November | -19 | 10.1 |
| 2021 | December | -25 | 7.3 |
| 2022 | January | -28 | 6.5 |
| 2022 | February | -30 | 5.8 |
| 2022 | March | -39 | 5.7 |
| 2022 | April | -48 | 7.2 |
| 2022 | May | -47 | 5.8 |
| 2022 | June | -50 | 4.2 |
| 2022 | July | -51 | 5.3 |
| 2022 | August | -54 | 2.4 |
| 2022 | September | -59 | 1.2 |
| 2022 | October | -59 | 0.9 |
| 2022 | November | -57 | 1.1 |
| 2022 | December | -52 | 1 |
| 2023 | January | -49 | 1.1 |
| 2023 | February | -44 | 0.9 |
| 2023 | March | -39 | 0.9 |
| 2023 | April | -37 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | May | -38 | -1.7 |
| 2023 | June | -39 | -2.7 |
| 2023 | July | -39 | -2.7 |
| 2023 | August | -40 | -4.6 |
| 2023 | September | -39 | -3.9 |
| 2023 | October | -38 | -3.7 |
| 2023 | November | -33 | -2.6 |
| 2023 | December | -29 | -5.7 |
| 2014 | January | -28 | -4.4 |
| 2014 | February | -27 | -4.2 |
| 2014 | March | -22 | -4.8 |
| 2014 | April | -21 | -3.6 |
| 2014 | May | -22 | -2.8 |
| 2014 | June | -23 | -2.4 |
| 2014 | July | -24 | -2.7 |
| 2014 | August | -24 | -1.9 |
| 2014 | September | -21 | -1.7 |
| 2014 | October | -22 | -3.2 |
| 2014 | November | -25 | -1.8 |
| 2014 | December | -26 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | January | -28 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | February | -32 | -1.2 |
| 2025 | March | -34 | -1.5 |
| 2025 | April | -37 | -3.3 |
| 2025 | May | -37 | -3.9 |
| 2025 | June | -36 | -5 |
| 2025 | July | -32 | -4.9 |
| 2025 | August | -32 | -2.2 |
Household consumption, exports and investment up
Household spending was 0.7 percent higher in June 2025 than it was in June 2024, adjusted for price changes and the shopping-day pattern. Households spent more on goods, but less on services.
In June 2025, the total volume of goods exported (adjusted for the number of working days) was up by 1.8 percent year on year. Growth is slightly higher than a month earlier. Export volumes were higher for machinery, transport equipment and food, beverages and tobacco.
In June 2025, the volume of investment in tangible fixed assets was up by 8.3 percent year on year. This was mainly due to more investment in ships, aircraft, machinery (including defence equipment) and infrastructure.
Manufacturing output 0.2 percent lower in June
In June 2025, the calendar-adjusted output of the Dutch manufacturing sector was 0.2 percent lower than it was in June 2024. After adjustment for seasonal and calendar effects, manufacturing output fell by 0.1 percent in June relative to May.
Fewer bankruptcies in July
Adjusted for the number of court session days, there were 18 fewer bankruptcies in July than in June. That was a decrease of 4 percent.
House prices up by almost 9 percent in July
In July, the average price of an owner-occupied dwelling (excluding newbuild homes) was 8.6 percent higher year on year and 0.7 percent higher relative to June.
Fewer hours worked, fewer vacancies, unemployment remained almost unchanged
Unemployment stood at 388 thousand in July 2025. This is 3.8 percent of the labour force, meaning that the unemployment rate was the same as in the previous three months. The number of unemployed people also remained almost unchanged over the past three months, on average.
In Q2 2025, employees and self-employed persons worked over 3.7 billion hours in total. Adjusted for seasonal effects, that was 0.3 percent less than the previous quarter.
The number of vacancies decreased by around 7 thousand to nearly 389 thousand in the second quarter of 2025.
In Q1 2025, the turnover of temporary employment and job placement agencies was 1.5 percent lower than in Q1 2024.
Economic growth of 0.1 percent in Q2 2025
According to the first estimate by Statistics Netherlands (CBS), gross domestic product (GDP) rose by 0.1 percent in Q2 2025, relative to the previous quarter. GDP growth in Q2 2025 was mainly attributable to investments and public consumption.
| Year | Quarter | Index (2021=100) |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Quarter 3 | 101.8 |
| 2021 | Quarter 4 | 101.9 |
| 2022 | Quarter 1 | 103.2 |
| 2022 | Quarter 2 | 105.6 |
| 2022 | Quarter 3 | 105.8 |
| 2022 | Quarter 4 | 105.5 |
| 2023 | Quarter 1 | 104.9 |
| 2023 | Quarter 2 | 104.5 |
| 2023 | Quarter 3 | 104 |
| 2023 | Quarter 4 | 104.2 |
| 2024 | Quarter 1 | 104.2 |
| 2024 | Quarter 2 | 105.3 |
| 2024 | Quarter 3 | 106 |
| 2024 | Quarter 4 | 106.5 |
| 2025 | Quarter 1 | 106.8 |
| 2025 | Quarter 2 | 106.9 |
Related items
- Visualisations - Business Cycle Tracer
- Dossier - Business cycle