Key figures of the population forecasts 2025-2070
| Forecast(-interval) | Periods | Total population on 1 January (number) | Demographic pressure Grey pressure (%) | Live births (number) | Total fertility rate (number) | Deaths (number) | Period life expectancy At birth Total (year) | Period life expectancy At age 65 Total (year) | External migration Immigration (number) | External migration Emigration (incl. net adm. corr.) (number) | External migration Net migration (incl. net adm. corr.) (number) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecast | 2070 | 20,559,492 | 48.4 | 208,954 | 1.65 | 192,298 | 88.95 | 25.26 | 311,513 | 257,910 | 53,603 |
| Lower limit 95% forecast-interval | 2070 | 17,515,066 | 38.9 | 132,040 | 1.14 | 157,668 | 83.73 | 20.90 | 197,393 | 183,684 | -38,806 |
| Upper limit 95% forecast-interval | 2070 | 23,933,133 | 59.2 | 295,610 | 2.16 | 237,613 | 94.17 | 29.96 | 436,666 | 352,643 | 147,325 |
| Lower limit 67% forecast-interval | 2070 | 18,783,985 | 42.7 | 165,371 | 1.40 | 173,614 | 86.37 | 23.06 | 248,576 | 218,157 | 6,658 |
| Upper limit 67% forecast-interval | 2070 | 22,133,834 | 53.3 | 251,921 | 1.90 | 212,827 | 91.53 | 27.55 | 382,919 | 300,603 | 106,153 |
| Source: CBS. | |||||||||||
Table explanation
This table contains forecasts (including intervals) of the population of The Netherlands on 1 January by age groups (three age-groups) and population dynamics: live births, deaths and external migration. Furthermore, the table contains information about the total fertility rate, demographic pressure and (period) life expectancy at birth and at age 65 by sex.
Data available from: 2025-2070
Status of the figures:
The figures in this table are calculated forecasts.
Changes as of 16 January 2026:
In this new table, the previous forecast is adjusted based on the most recent insights, the forecast period now runs from 2025 to 2070.
When will new figures be published?
This table will be published once. A new table with the population forecast will be published in December 2026.
Description topics
- Total population on 1 January
- Demographic pressure
- Ratio between number of people aged over 65 and younger than 20, and the number of 20 to 65 year-olds. This ratio is an indicator of the pressure of the non-active population on the labour force.
- Grey pressure
- The ratio between the number of people aged 65 or over and the number of people aged 20 to 65.
- Live births
- Total fertility rate
- The total fertility rate gives an indication of how many children women have on average. In order to calculate this figure, age-specific fertility rates observed in a given calendar year are used which apply to every childbearing age (ages between 15 and 50).
- Deaths
- Period life expectancy
- Period life expectancy (at a given age)
The average number of years a person would live, if he or she experienced the age-specific mortality rates for that time period throughout his or her life.- At birth
- Period life expectancy at birth
The average number of years a person would live, if he or she experienced the age-specific mortality rates for that time period throughout his or her life.- Total
- At age 65
- Period life expectancy at age 65
The average number of years a person would live after the 65th birthday, if he or she experienced the age-specific mortality rates for that time period throughout his or her remaining life.- Total
- External migration
- Immigration
- Arrival in the Netherlands from another country.
- Emigration (incl. net adm. corr.)
- Departure from the Netherlands to another country (including net
administrative corrections).
- Net migration (incl. net adm. corr.)
- Immigration minus emigration (including net administrative corrections).