Key figures of the population forecasts 2017-2060


This table contains forecasts (including intervals) of the population of The Netherlands on 1 January by age groups (three age-groups) and population dynamics: live births, deaths and external migration. Furthermore, the table contains information about the total fertility rate, demographic pressure and (period) life expectancy at birth and at age 65 by sex.

Data available from: 2017-2060

Status of the figures:
The figures in this table are calculated forecasts.

Changes as of 19 December 2017:
In this new table, the previous forecast is adjusted based on the most recent insights, the forecast period now runs from 2017 to 2060.

When will new figures be published?
New figures will appear December 2020.

Key figures of the population forecasts 2017-2060

Forecast(-interval) Periods Total population (number) Live births (number) Deaths (number) External migrationImmigration (number) External migrationEmigration (incl. net adm. corr.) (number) External migrationNet migration (incl. net adm. corr.) (number)
Forecast 2017 168,589 149,426 232,700 150,929 81,771
Forecast 2018 17,182,442 170,277 150,885 218,097 157,741 60,356
Forecast 2019 17,262,190 172,185 152,508 215,043 163,090 51,953
Forecast 2020 17,333,820 174,058 154,253 214,187 167,713 46,474
Forecast 2030 17,934,678 196,038 174,601 222,326 192,992 29,334
Forecast 2040 18,293,320 187,154 195,502 222,388 196,873 25,515
Forecast 2050 18,370,350 182,452 204,787 222,648 198,431 24,217
Forecast 2060 18,438,032 195,774 201,881 223,272 200,152 23,120
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2017 164,952 143,628 218,010 142,892 64,779
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2018 17,162,628 165,090 143,375 198,815 147,280 39,501
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2019 17,224,730 165,637 143,585 192,231 150,929 28,005
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2020 17,270,892 166,334 144,101 189,149 154,242 20,734
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2030 17,596,264 179,136 157,639 183,488 170,892 -3,315
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2040 17,646,160 165,398 175,450 178,165 171,780 -9,045
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2050 17,425,136 155,654 184,273 179,145 171,306 -11,363
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2060 17,152,144 160,932 182,240 176,492 168,947 -13,626
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2017 172,763 155,865 251,391 160,297 100,920
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2018 17,203,116 176,179 159,311 242,756 169,578 84,421
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2019 17,305,910 179,648 162,611 244,702 177,485 79,611
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2020 17,406,072 182,953 165,699 247,643 183,878 76,454
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2030 18,310,854 213,086 193,615 271,068 219,883 65,225
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2040 18,999,784 208,937 217,596 271,664 226,265 61,094
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2050 19,347,330 209,910 226,379 275,593 232,571 60,139
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2060 19,711,740 231,250 222,713 275,071 236,512 60,150
Source: CBS.
Explanation of symbols