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Business Cycle Tracer, 30 April 2015 09:30

Economic situation improves somewhat again

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Analysis April:

According to Statistics Netherlands’ Business Cycle Tracer, the economic situation improved marginally in April 2015  relative to March. In the period between summer 2013 and spring 2014, the economy improved gradually but since then the recovery process is happening step by step. The recovery is slow, but steady. The heart of the indicators in the Tracer is located in the recovery stage.

In the course of April, new data have become available for all monthly indicators.  As a result of the new information, the distribution of indicators across and within the quadrants has changed.

One indicator moved to another quadrant. Producer confidence moved from the orange to the green quadrant. The trend reversed from downwards to upwards and the indicator is performing above its long-term average.

At the end of April, the heart of the scatter in the Tracer is located in the recovery stage. Eleven of the fifteen indicators are in the green quadrant, two in the yellow, one in the orange and one in the red. The growth rate of indicators in the red quadrant is below their long-term trend and slowing down. The growth rate of indicators in the yellow quadrant is also below their long-term trend, but increasing. The growth rate of the indicators in the green quadrant is above their long-term trend and increasing. The growth rate of indicators located in the orange quadrant is also above their long-term trend, but slowing down.

The Business Cycle Dashboard shows the cyle of the seperate indicators.
The BCT indicator shows the cycle of the heart of the scatter in the Tracer.

Do you want to know how Statistics Netherlands'  Business Cycle Tracer works? It is on YouTube: How does the Business Cycle Tracer work?.
Do you want to see how the economic downturn developed? It is on YouTube: Looking at the economic downturn.

New look for the business Cycle Tracer

Brief explanation Business Cycle Tracer
Definitions of indicators in the Business Cycle Tracer (BCT)
Methodological aspects, concept, cycle computation and indicator selection

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