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Business Cycle Tracer, 30 October 2015 06:30

Economic situation hardly changes

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Analysis October:

According to Statistics Netherlands’ Business Cycle Tracer, the economic situation hardly changes in October 2015 from September. Almost all indicators in the Tracer are performing better than their long-term trend.

In the course of October, new data have become available for all monthly indicators. As a result, the distribution of the indicators across and within the quadrants has changed.

One indicator moved to another quadrant. The capital market rate moved back from the yellow to the red quadrant. This indicator is performing below its long-term trend  and the trend is downward now.

According to the Business Cycle Tracer, almost all indicators in the Tracer are performing better than their long-term trend. Eleven of the fifteen indicators are in the green quadrant, one in the yellow, one in the orange and two in the red quadrant. The growth rate of indicators in the red quadrant is below their long-term trend and slowing down. The growth rate of indicators in the yellow quadrant is also below their long-term trend, but increasing. The growth rate of the indicators in the green quadrant is above their long-term trend and increasing. The growth rate of indicators located in the orange quadrant is also above their long-term trend, but slowing down.

The Business Cycle Dashboard shows the cyle of the seperate indicators.
The BCT indicator shows the cycle of the heart of the scatter in the Tracer.

Do you want to know how Statistics Netherlands'  Business Cycle Tracer works? It is on YouTube: How does the Business Cycle Tracer work?.
Do you want to see how the economic downturn developed? It is on YouTube: Looking at the economic downturn.

New look for the business Cycle Tracer

Brief explanation Business Cycle Tracer
Definitions of indicators in the Business Cycle Tracer (BCT)
Methodological aspects, concept, cycle computation and indicator selection

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